The mortality rate is impossible to know, Chris, given that testing is
imperfect and incomplete..
I suggest that there is a good chance that the infection rate is high enough
(but unknown) to make the rate closer to 1 or 2%, but I’m guessing, or course.
Chris
> On 19 Mar 20, at 19:56, Chris Trask <christrask@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
> Our mayor just ordered all bars, restaurants, and gyms closed as of
> today. We can still do takeout.
>
> Our grocery stores are being stripped clean. I was fortunate to
> replenish certain items, but in a couple of weeks people will probably be
> getting desperate as they go bat shit crazy being stuck at home.
>
> The global mortality rate is 4.09% as of this morning, and in Italy it's
> 10.43%. I have a bad feeling that we're looking at an entirely new strain
> that is more aggressive.
>
> Looking at the statistics, we may be fortunate here in the southwest.
> This bug appears to like cold, damp environments, and if so then we will be
> relieved here next month when the temperatures rise and we dry out.
--
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