Well, we have had a severe drought all summer and I have had to spend hours
and hours watering the garden and fruit trees; but, with a drought you can
add water as long as the well holds out. With the amount of rain we are
predicted to get, everything will wash away and there 's nothing you can do
about it!!
Tina
On Thu, Oct 1, 2015 at 7:53 PM, Chris Trask <christrask@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
> I don't suppose that Tina is very excited about the possibility of
> Joaquin turning to the west and inundating North Carolina.
>
> Chris
>
> >
> >WOW - Sitting here in one of the target zones (Chesapeake Bay) is not good
> >feeling... to coin a phrase. 😇
> >
> >
> >> > It is strange, to say the least. I've been watching the
> developing
> >> high-pressure system north of Bermuda. GFS missed this feature when
> >> forecasting Sandy, but UKMET caught it and got the forecast right. If
> that
> >> high-pressure system is strong enough it will prevent any tracking to
> the
> >> east.
> >> >
> >> > UKMET has Joaquin passing right over Bermuda.
> >>
> >>
> >> That low positioned over the Azores is what is screwing everything up
> >> for me. That puppy just ain't budging. While it looks like it might
> >> influence the development of a High north of Bermuda, I'm not sure
> >> that it would be so much of a high as a lack of low. Look at the WV
> >> loop and you can see that dry airmass being forced down towards
> >> Joaquin and hitting a wall about 200 miles NE of it. Just in the last
> >> three hours a dry-line boundary has setup and some massive storms are
> >> kicking up. That dry-line looks like it might stop pushing SW and the
> >> Hurricane might be able to start moving north. But if it doesn't stop
> >> pushing, Joaquin will keep moving towards Cuba.
> >>
> >> It's the high-level winds that are not quite squaring up, though.
> >> There is a part of me that says that this isn't going to turn north at
> >> all, but get shoved SW across Cuba. There is so much upper level shear
> >> associated with this frontal boundary going across the south-east that
> >> it will either turn left across Cuba or it will get shoved by the
> >> mid-level jetstream and move right up the coast without ever turning
> >> inland. Yet, what is developing in the mid-levels over the central USA
> >> right now could cause it to turn inland around New Jersey again.
> >>
> >> The low pressure is estimated at 942mb right now, which makes it
> >> pretty significant. As this puppy just isn't moving, it's turned into
> >> a solid mass of precip. Usually, you get well defined rainbands, but
> >> this has turned into what looks like a big filled pastry. But the
> >> eyewall just expanded out again.
> >>
> >> We'll see if it turns tonight.
> >>
> >
>
> Chris
>
> When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro
> - Hunter S. Thompson
> --
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>
--
Tina Manley
www.tinamanley.com
tina-manley.artistwebsites.com
http://www.alamy.com/stock-photography/3B49552F-90A0-4D0A-A11D-2175C937AA91/Tina+Manley.html
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