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Re: [OM] Re: Dipping our Toe Into Digital (LONG)

Subject: Re: [OM] Re: Dipping our Toe Into Digital (LONG)
From: "C.H.Ling" <chling@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Mon, 23 Dec 2002 09:57:51 +0800
Joe Gwinn wrote:

<snip>

> Not so fast.  People buy into systems to make photos.  The price of the CCD 
> is only a part of the equation.  Don't forget the entire infrastructure 
> needed to make cameras of either kind practical for the masses.  Right now, 
> actually making a digital photo print is far too complex and expensive for 
> most folk.  In time, five or ten years, this will be solved.  
>

May be US is a bit slow, here in Hong Kong you can process digital
print anywhere in almost the same price as film print. Ten years? it
is a joke! BTW, a good quality 2MP DC is now in the $200-250 range,
normal consumer will not see the different in 4x6 print. They may not
need a computer too, the lab can burn their file into a CD for storage
and their memory card are free to use again. I think it is dirty cheap
as the lab are charging less than $1.5 for scanning and making CD when
you send your film in for D&P.

> It will be a while before digital systems (camera, photo printers, etc) will 
> equal the quality of large format at any price.  An 8x10 image contains 
> (7.75*25.4*100)(9.75*25.4*100)= 487,499,025 tricolor pixels, or 975 Mpixels 
> (as digital cameras are usually advertised).  By Moore's Law, this will take 
> 18*log2(975/4)= 142.7 months, or 12 years to come down to the price of 4 Mpix 
> camera.  This would likely be the minimum delay, as the market for large 
> format is far smaller than for 35mm, so far less money will be invested in 
> pusing into the large format market.  Also, the quality requirements and 
> expectations of the 8x10 crowd far exceed that of the 35mm crowd, even the 
> pros.
> 

To my understanding, large format lenses has much lower resolution, I
don't think they can close to 50lm/pp. For DC vs 35mm, I always think
a 16MP (single layer CCD) DC will outperform 35mm film system in all
aspect including resolution. The time for an affordable 16MP SLR DC
system is coming soon, I expected it will be less than 3 years.

C.H.Ling

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