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Re: [OM] OT: Possible Weather Alert

Subject: Re: [OM] OT: Possible Weather Alert
From: Chris Trask <christrask@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Sun, 12 Jun 2016 15:24:34 -0700 (GMT-07:00)
     NWS Phoenix has issued an "excessive heat warning" for Friday through 
Monday of next weekend.  The predicted high for Sunday is presently 119F, and I 
suspect that it will go higher.

>
>     I've been keeping aware of various aspects of climate change for 
>many years now, conscious of the prediction that the southwest will be 
>the first area to feel the aspects of higher temperatures and lower 
>precipitation.
>
>     A scenario has been developing in the GFS (Global Forecasting 
>System) that gives reason for concern.  A broad band of high pressure, 
>very likely related to the Hadley Cell downflow, is developing from at 
>least west of Baja, through the Gulf of Mexico, then north of the 
>Bahamas.  By next Thursday a strong high pressure cell will develop 
>over northern Mexico, then mover northward and elongate over the 
>weekend, covering Arizona, New Mexico, and Colorado.  It may possibly 
>enlarge further, stretching from southern California to Illinois.
>
>     Until today, this strong high pressure area was outside the 7-day 
>window of confidence, but now it has moved inside that window.  High 
>pressure equates directly to high daytime temperatures, and the pressure 
>forecast for this scenario is quite high.  And the air will be dry, so 
>there will be no moisture to mitigate the temperature.
>
>     I'm hoping that I will be wrong about this.
>


Chris

When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro 
     - Hunter S. Thompson
-- 
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