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Re: [OM] [Way OT] Why the recent northeast blizzard was not, due to glob

Subject: Re: [OM] [Way OT] Why the recent northeast blizzard was not, due to global warming
From: Andrew Fildes <afildes@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Sat, 23 Feb 2013 10:08:59 +1100
We can agree on a couple of things.
1. Climate 'modellers' are probably the least useful scientists in the room on 
this issue.
2. All theories should be subject to proof-disproof - on both sides (both faith 
and disbelief are equally suspect).

But still...it moves.

Andrew Fildes
afildes@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
www.soultheft.com
Author/Publisher: The SLR Compendium - http://www.blurb.com/books/3732813



On 23/02/2013, at 12:25 AM, Chuck Norcutt wrote:

> I suppose I was long ago conditioned to be leery of modelers since I 
> myself was heavily involved in a simulation model of one of IBM's 
> smallest manufacturing plants in the early 70s.  The intent was to try 
> to predict the actual output of the plant.  In a nutshell, the model 
> kept growing more and more complex.  It finally met its end when the 
> complexity of the model caused the runtime to exceed real time.  The 
> net:  You would need more than a month to predict the month's output. 
> Unfortunately, even today's far faster computers wouldn't have helped 
> because the answer would still be very wrong anyhow.

-- 
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