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[OM] Re: Home Run

Subject: [OM] Re: Home Run
From: Moose <olymoose@xxxxxxxxx>
Date: Fri, 15 Sep 2006 17:28:35 -0700
ScottGee1 wrote:
> $5600?
>
> A question for those of you familiar with manufacturing processes.
>   
On the cost side, it's really research, development, tooling and 
manufacturing costs. On the accounting side, assumptions about product 
life and number of items produced are determinants.
> Is there anything inherent to this new product that justifies the
> asking price of the M8?
>   
The previews say that, although it looks a lot like a modified M7, it is 
an entirely new product, designed and built from scratch. It also 
includes some entirely new technology, like the pixel lenses with 
varying offsets. That means huge R&D and tooling expenses that must be 
amortized over a relatively low number of bodies produced.

Beyond that, planned volume of production has a significant impact on 
tooling and production design. If you are going to sell 10 million of 
something, $1 million spent on automation of production of some piece 
adds $0.10 per product cost. If production is 1 million, it adds $1 of 
cost. If production is planned at 100,000, it adds $10. If a skilled 
technician and non-automated equipment can turn the part out for $6 
apiece, that's how you set it up.

So low volume specialty/niche manufacturers tend to have a lot of 
skilled labor component in their costs. This is to their advantage from 
a marketing standpoint, as they can advertise the hand made aspect of 
their product, even when it is that way for hard-nosed cost reasons.

If Leica could realistically plan to sell 5 million M8s over 5 years, 
they could probably sell it for something like $700, maybe less. If it 
was an even greater success, and the first 5 million sold in 2 years, 
they could probably start selling them for $400 after that and make more 
profit per camera than on the initial run at $700 - or keep selling for 
$700 and smile all the way to the bank.

The thing is, though, that there isn't a market for millions of M8s, at 
almost any price. Put in your local Costco at $500 and try to sell a 
camera where you have to squint through a little viewfinder and line up 
overlapping images by hand, and can't see what you are taking on the 
back before you take it, and you won't sell any.

Then there's Leica's existing image, market and intentional market 
placement. Even if they could sell it for less than the M7, there is no 
way they would. But you only asked about non-marketing aspects of the 
cost to manufacture it.

Moose

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