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Re: [OM] OT: Weather Forecasting

Subject: Re: [OM] OT: Weather Forecasting
From: Mike Lazzari <watershed@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2014 10:36:18 -0700
Cliff posted on the issue today. http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/ He probably has a point here but I went to one of his lectures this summer and he is a bit overbearing and talks down to the audience.

  And that is just to obtain accurate forecasts of five days or so. What must 
it take to forecast out a month, three months?
Can it even be done?
After 5 days or so a prediction of "average" begins to beat the computer models. The ability to see farther, e.g. satellites added a couple days then computer models another day or so. So 2 weeks might be a reasonable goal.

Mike

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